Thunderstorm Risk Monitored Late Weekend into Early Next Week 🌩ï¸ðŸ‘€
We are tracking a shift in our weather pattern as mid-to-upper atmospheric monsoonal moisture prepares to advect northward across the region beginning late this weekend and continuing into early next week.
Here is a breakdown of what we are watching across the Bay Area and Central Coast:
What We Know:
Monsoonal moisture is on the increase.
The overall pattern supports a risk for high-based thunderstorms capable of producing little to no precipitation (dry lightning potential).
Fine fuels and regional vegetation continue to dry out, making them increasingly susceptible to fire starts.
What is Uncertain:
The exact amount of atmospheric instability, or "fuel," available for thunderstorm development.
The precise timing and location of where the greatest instability and moisture overlap will reside late Sunday into Monday.
What You Should Do:
If you have outdoor plans over the weekend or early next week, keep a close eye on the forecast as we refine the details over the next 24–48 hours. Stay weather aware! 🌤ï¸ðŸ‘‰â›ˆï¸
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Data Courtesy of San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area Weather Forecast Office